Alibaba · model release forecast
When is the next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) expected to be released?
Market-implied estimate
Signal formingThe next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) does not yet have enough active deadline markets to support a date estimate. The estimate is based on 1 active deadline contract with $10K of traded volume. It has moved 19 days later over the past 37 days.
Release alerts
Get told when this date moves
One email the day before the the next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) forecast date, and one on the day itself. Two emails per release, nothing else.
The evidence
Release probability by deadline
| Deadline | Probability bar | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| By Oct 31, 2026 | 84% |
Forecast history
How this estimate has moved
Since Aug 23, 2026 the expected release date for the next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) has moved 19 days later, from Oct 4, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026.
Common questions
About the Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) forecast
When is the next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) expected to be released?
The next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) does not yet have enough active deadline markets to support a date estimate. The estimate is based on 1 active deadline contract with $10K of traded volume. It has moved 19 days later over the past 37 days.
Where does the Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) release forecast come from?
Each public "released by <date>?" contract on Polymarket gives one point on a cumulative probability curve. Release Oracle sorts those points, corrects small inconsistencies, then interpolates the 50% crossing for the headline date and the 25% and 75% crossings for its uncertainty window. Forecasts are market signals, not lab announcements, and can be wrong.
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