Google DeepMind · model release forecast
When is the next Google Gemini Pro Model expected to be released?
Market-implied median
12% within a week53% within a monthPrediction markets currently put the the next Google Gemini Pro Model release around Oct 10, 2026, with the window opening Sep 12, 2026 and no upper bound priced yet. Markets imply a 12% chance of landing within a week of that date, and 53% within a month. The estimate is based on 4 active deadline contracts with $1.1M of traded volume. It has held steady over the past 1 days.
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One email when the the next Google Gemini Pro Model forecast shifts by a week or more, and one when the release is confirmed. Nothing else.
The evidence
Release probability by deadline
| Deadline | Probability bar | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| By Aug 31, 2026 | 6.8% | |
| By Sep 15, 2026 | 28% | |
| By Sep 30, 2026 | 40% | |
| By Oct 31, 2026 | 70% |
Forecast history
How this estimate has moved
Since Aug 23, 2026 the expected release date for the next Google Gemini Pro Model has held steady, from Oct 10, 2026 to Oct 10, 2026.
Also tracked