Live forecast · 16 models tracked
When is the next major AI model expected to be released?
The next Mythos-Class Model · market-implied median
Prediction markets currently put the next Mythos-Class Model release around Sep 1, 2026, with a middle-50% window from Sep 1, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026. Markets imply a 83% chance of landing within a week of that date, and 91% within a month. The estimate is based on 8 active deadline contracts with $878K of traded volume.
Every tracked model
Estimated AI model release dates
| Model | Lab | Expected release | Within a week |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 | OpenAI | Oct 7, 2026 | 4.1% |
| Next Google Gemini Pro Model | Google DeepMind | Oct 22, 2026 | 24% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model | Anthropic | Sep 1, 2026 | 83% |
| OpenAI’s Astra | OpenAI | Sep 10, 2026 | 66% |
| Gemini 4.0 | Google DeepMind | Oct 19, 2026 | 27% |
| SSI public model | Frontier lab | About Oct 29, 2026 | 6.0% |
| Next Claude Opus | Anthropic | Sep 25, 2026 | 27% |
| Kimi K4 | Moonshot AI | About May 3, 2027 | 5.0% |
| Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) | Frontier lab | Oct 13, 2026 | 20% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) | OpenAI | Sep 24, 2026 | 22% |
| Next Kimi K model | Moonshot AI | Sep 14, 2026 | 47% |
| Next Claude Sonnet | Anthropic | Oct 13, 2026 | 17% |
| Grok 5 | xAI | Dec 22, 2026 | 23% |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) | Google DeepMind | Sep 8, 2026 | 93% |
| Next Claude Haiku | Anthropic | Oct 21, 2026 | 11% |
| Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) | Alibaba | About Dec 10, 2026 | 4.9% |
Open any model for its probability curve, deadline evidence, and recorded forecast history. Machine-readable copies live at /llms.txt, /api/forecasts, and /feed.xml.
Common questions
About the Next Mythos-Class Model forecast
When is the next Mythos-Class Model expected to be released?
Prediction markets currently put the next Mythos-Class Model release around Sep 1, 2026, with a middle-50% window from Sep 1, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026. Markets imply a 83% chance of landing within a week of that date, and 91% within a month. The estimate is based on 8 active deadline contracts with $878K of traded volume.
How precise is the Next Mythos-Class Model release date forecast?
Markets place 83% of the probability within a week of the median date and 91% within a month. A date with only a few percent inside a week should be read as a month, not a day.
Where does the Next Mythos-Class Model release forecast come from?
Each public "released by <date>?" contract on Polymarket gives one point on a cumulative probability curve. Release Oracle sorts those points, corrects small inconsistencies, then interpolates the 50% crossing for the headline date and the 25% and 75% crossings for its uncertainty window. Forecasts are market signals, not lab announcements, and can be wrong.