OpenAI · model release forecast
When is the next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) expected to be released?
Market-implied median
9.0% within a week51% within a monthPrediction markets currently put the the next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) release around Sep 25, 2026, with the window opening Aug 31, 2026 and no upper bound priced yet. Markets imply a 9.0% chance of landing within a week of that date, and 51% within a month. The estimate is based on 2 active deadline contracts with $8K of traded volume. It has moved 3 days later over the past 1 days.
Release alerts
Get told when this date moves
One email when the the next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) forecast shifts by a week or more, and one when the release is confirmed. Nothing else.
The evidence
Release probability by deadline
| Deadline | Probability bar | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| By Aug 31, 2026 | 25% | |
| By Sep 30, 2026 | 55% |
Forecast history
How this estimate has moved
Since Aug 23, 2026 the expected release date for the next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) has moved 3 days later, from Sep 22, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026.
Also tracked